Warm/cool epochs over past 2000 years were regional until 20th century warming

Percentages of earth’s surface experiencing abnormal warm (red shading) and cold (blue shading) temperatures. Shading intensity indicates the magnitude of warmth and cold. a, Annual data. b, 51-year averaged data.

Over the last 2000 years Europe has experienced centennial scale cool and warm epochs including the Little Ice Age (1300 and 1850 CE), the Mediaeval Warm Period (800–1200 CE), the Dark Ages Cold Period (400–800 CE) and the Roman Warm Period (250 BCE to 400 CE). A recent analysis has generated spatial temporal temperature reconstructions covering the entire globe for the past 2,000 years. The research found no evidence that preindustrial cold and warm periods recorded in Europe and elsewhere extended over the entire globe. By contrast, the warmest period of the past 2,000 years occurred during the twentieth century for more than 98 per cent of the globe.

No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era, Raphael Neukom, Nathan Steiger, Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Jianghao Wang & Johannes P. Werner, Nature, volume 571, pages 550–554 (2019).

From Our Files

Comparison of temperature and CO2 from Vostok ice cores

Close correlation of temperature and greenhouse gas concentrations over the last four glacial-interglacial cycles

In January 1998, a collaborative ice-drilling project between Russia, the United States, and France at the Russian Vostok revealed that over the past four cycles atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide correlates closely with Antarctic air-temperature. The analysis also suggests a sequence of events that is characteristic of every termination; warming by orbital forcing, then increasing greenhouse gases, and followed by ice sheet melting and reduced albedo.

Human beings as sensors provide raw data for scientific analyses

A recent study, published in Nature, reports on how anonymized data from three quarter of a million global smart phones was used to detect and map physical inactivity around the world. The study is an outstanding example of the type of scientific analyses that is possible using human beings as sensors.

Evidence of CO2 outgassing from the Southern Ocean early in the last deglaciation

During the last deglaciation atmosphere CO2 concentration rose by about 80 ppm amplifying climate warming. This study of radiocarbon in deep sea corals found that Southern ocean deep water was radiocarbon-depleted throughout the last ice age, but this depletion disappeared between 16,600 and 14,600 years ago consistent with Southern Ocean CO2 outgassing that corresponded to the first pulse of increased atmospheric CO2 early in the deglaciation.

Greenland ice core records reveal periods of rapid warming across globe during last deglaciation

Air bubbles in Greenland ice cores are analyzed to compare changes in Greenland surface temperature and atmospheric methane concentration during a rapid warming event lasting 200 years during the last deglaciation. It is found that changes in Greenland surface temperature and atmospheric methane emissions occurred essentially synchronously indicating that this warming event included the tropics.