Warm/cool epochs over past 2000 years were regional until 20th century warming

Percentages of earth’s surface experiencing abnormal warm (red shading) and cold (blue shading) temperatures. Shading intensity indicates the magnitude of warmth and cold. a, Annual data. b, 51-year averaged data.

Over the last 2000 years Europe has experienced centennial scale cool and warm epochs including the Little Ice Age (1300 and 1850 CE), the Mediaeval Warm Period (800–1200 CE), the Dark Ages Cold Period (400–800 CE) and the Roman Warm Period (250 BCE to 400 CE). A recent analysis has generated spatial temporal temperature reconstructions covering the entire globe for the past 2,000 years. The research found no evidence that preindustrial cold and warm periods recorded in Europe and elsewhere extended over the entire globe. By contrast, the warmest period of the past 2,000 years occurred during the twentieth century for more than 98 per cent of the globe.

No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era, Raphael Neukom, Nathan Steiger, Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Jianghao Wang & Johannes P. Werner, Nature, volume 571, pages 550–554 (2019).

From Our Files

Monthly mean atmospheric methane since 1985 NOAA

Increased methane in atmosphere sourced to fossil fuels and livestock

The source of the accelerating rise in atmospheric methane concentration since 2007 remains an open question. A recent study using satellite imagery suggests that the increase may be ascribed to increased fossil fuels and livestock sources in roughly equal measure.

Location of core site on the Bermuda Rise

Changes in Atlantic current triggered abrupt Northern hemisphere warming events during last ice age

This study reports measurements from ocean floor sediments that provide the first direct evidence that not only do variations in the primary North/South Atlantic current correlate with periods of rapid warming and slower cooling in the Northern Hemisphere during the last ice age, but that the changes in the Atlantic overturning current occurred before and likely initiated these warming/cooling cycles.

Temperature, CO2 and CH4 from Dome C ice core

Rising CO2 lagged Southern Hemisphere warming at the beginning of the last deglaciation

A new analysis of Antarctic ice cores shows that at the beginning of the last deglaciation, the start of rising CO2 lagged rising temperature by about 800 years which is consistent with the Southern Hemisphere playing a dominant role in the rise in atmospheric CO2. The concomitant rise in methane appears to be governed by Northern Hemisphere processes.

Oxygen decline in oceans and coastal waters

Decreasing oxygen in open ocean threatens biological diversity

Oxygen is fundamental to oceanic biological processes and its decline can cause major changes in ocean productivity and biodiversity. Over the past 50 years low oxygen zones in the open oceans have expanded by an area equivalent to half the size of Canada and hundreds of coastal sites now have low oxygen concentrations that limit the distribution and abundance of animal populations.